The DOJ Is Probing Whether Nvidia Built the Groq Deal to Dodge Merger Review

The Justice Department sent Nvidia a formal demand for information about its roughly $20 billion Groq licensing deal, examining whether it was structured to avoid antitrust review. The probe lands while Nvidia's Hugging Face acquisition heads into the conventional review Groq skipped.

The DOJ Is Probing Whether Nvidia Built the Groq Deal to Dodge Merger Review

The Justice Department is investigating whether Nvidia structured its roughly $20 billion licensing agreement with Groq to avoid antitrust review, and has sent the company a formal demand for information, per Bloomberg following a New York Times report on September 9. The inquiry began after the deal was disclosed in late December. Groq described it as a non-exclusive license to its inference chip technology, and CEO Jonathan Ross and COO Sunny Madra joined Nvidia afterward. Officials do not currently expect the deal to be unwound, the Justice Department could seek a fine, and the inquiry could still close without action. Nvidia called the arrangement an example of the American system "working as designed," per SDxCentral.

On Sunday we set the Groq structure against Nvidia's Hugging Face acquisition. The larger deal was built as a license plus hires and triggered no merger filing in the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom, or China. The $12.93 billion Hugging Face purchase is a straight acquisition that must clear Hart-Scott-Rodino review and a European filing. Three days later the Justice Department is formally asking whether the first structure was designed to avoid the review the second one cannot. The matters are separate, but US antitrust agencies will now evaluate the Hugging Face filing while one of them examines whether Nvidia routed around the process last time, which is a harder starting posture than Nvidia would have wanted.

The probe sits inside a wider push. The FTC is running a broader examination of acqui-hire structures, and chairman Andrew Ferguson has said the agency wants to ensure such deals are not an attempt to get around merger review. Microsoft with Inflection, Amazon with Adept, and Google with Character.AI all used versions of the license-plus-talent design, and Senators Warren and Blumenthal put the same question to Nvidia directly in March.

For dealmakers the expected remedy is the detail that matters. If the realistic downside is a fine rather than an unwind, license-plus-hires still works economically for a buyer of Nvidia's size, because the technology and the team stay where they landed and the penalty becomes a cost of the transaction. A fine large enough to change that arithmetic, or an agency willing to seek structural relief, would be the signal that the design has stopped working. Until one of those arrives, expect boards and founders to keep treating it as a legitimate exit path with the regulatory risk priced in rather than avoided.

Regulators now formally treat the Groq structure as a possible route around review, and the probe arrives as the Hugging Face deal enters the conventional process. Watch the size of any penalty, because it will tell every large buyer whether license-plus-hires remains cheaper than a real merger filing.